Muslim Threat Index



Muslim Threat

For the average infidel in the western world it is extremely difficult to determine which of the 48 Muslim Majority countries in the world represents the greatest danger to civilization. Afghanistan has the Taliban, Lebanon has Hezbollah, Egypt has Al-Gama'a al-Islamiyya, Algeria has the 'the al-Qaeda Organization of the Islamic Maghreb,' Iran is looking to get nuclear weapons, Pakistan already has the bomb, which countries should we be worried about?

As a public service I have devised Planck's Islamic Threat Equation, a Muslim threat index to help government security agencies, NGOs, and others to quantify the danger of various Muslim majority countries and the likelihood that those countries may directly or indirectly support an attack against America or Europe. Also one should consider Islamic regimes that make their populace so miserable that they force huge numbers of Muslims to emigrate (which is a direct threat to the host countries) or make them so angry they turn to terrorism.

Here is the formula: MTI (Muslim Threat Index) = [ (100 * Atp * At)/M + (Pp*GDp) + MSp + MPp + SRp] * NC

where Atp is Active Troop points;
At is Number of troops;
M is the number of Muslims in the country

AtpAt=Number of active Troops
00-9,999
110,000-99,999
2100,000-249,999
4250,000-499,999
8500,000+

Pp is Population Points (too small and too big a population are both most dangerous)

PpPopulation
15-49.9 million
250-99.9 million
40-4.9 million
8100+million

MSp Is Main Sect Points (Where neither Sunni nor Shia predominate the more likely for sectarian instability)

MSpMain-Sect
0Sunni
4Shia
8Sunni/Shia

MPp is Muslim Percentage Points (the greater the percentage the greater the intolerance of other religions)

MPpMuslim-Percentage
050%-59.99%
160%-89.99%
290%-97.99%
498%-99.7%
899.8%-100%

SRp is State Religion Points

State Religion means Islam the official religion where Sharia courts may be used
Secular: Officially neutral in matters of religion, neither supporting nor opposing any particular religion
None means that the country's status has not yet been declared - until resolved more dangerous than Secular
state
Islamic State means Strict Shariah Law

SRpReligion&State
0Secular
2StateReligion
4None
8IslamicState

GDp is Gross Domestic Product per capita points

GDpGDP-US$
020,000+
112,000-19,999
25,000-11,999
42,500-4,999
80-2,499

Pp*GDp is population points times (Gross Domestic Product per capita points)

One will notice that a very high GDP will drive high population numbers to 0 on the principle that the higher the GDP the less likely the populace is to engage in terrorism.

NC= Nuclear Capability

NC=1 no nukes
NC=2 Acquiring Nuclear Capability (Iran)
NC=4 Has Nukes (Pakistan)

Here are the results with the most dangerous countries at the top with the highest threat index.


CountryPop (mil)% MuslimMain SectGovt TypeActive TroopsGDP Per Capita US$Threat Level
Pakistan172.897.0SunniIslamic state528,0002,592180
Nigeria146.250.0SunniNone78,5002,03568
Bangladesh162.289.0SunniState Religion120,0001,37867
Iran70.598.0Shi'aIslamic state545,00010,62452
Mauritania3.1100.0SunniIslamic state15,7502,00849
Indonesia228.586.1SunniNone316,0003,72538
Comoros0.898.0SunniState religion01,12538
Kosovo2.190.0SunniSecular01,80034
The Gambia1.790.0SunniSecular8001,32634
Djibouti0.594.0SunniSecular9,8502,27134
Maldives0.399.8SunniState religion1,0004,60426
Eritrea5.060.0SunniNone202,00077326
Lebanon4.260.0Sunni/Shi'None72,10011,27024
Palestine4.195.0SunniNone02,90022
Yemen23.099.0Sunni/Shi'Islamic state65,0002,33520
Somalia 9.599.9SunniState religion10,00060018
Saudi Arabia27.6100.0SunniIslamic state199,50023,24317
Turkey71.599.8SunniSecular514,85012,88816
Syria19.490.0SunniNone296,0004,44813
Sierra Leone6.260.0SunniNone13,00069213
Afghanistan32.799.0SunniIslamic state70,00072412
Iraq28.297.0Shi'aState religion254,4183,60012
Egypt77.190.0SunniState religion450,0005,49111
Niger13.290.0SunniSecular5,30066610
Mali12.090.0SunniSecular7,3501,03110
Senegal11.694.0SunniSecular9,4001,68510
Tajikistan7.297.0SunniSecular6,0001,84110
Jordan5.595.0Sunnistate religion100,7004,88610
Guinea10.285.0SunniSecular9,7001,0749
Azerbaijan8.693.4Shi'aSecular95,0007,6569
Kyrgyzstan5.375.0SunniSecular12,500 - 9
Chad5.054.0SunniSecular30,3501,6759
Bahrain1.081.0Shi'aState religion11,20032,6048
Burkina Faso13.250.0SunniSecular6,0001,2538
Tunisia10.398.0SunniState religion35,0007,4738
Morocco33.799.0SunniState religion196,3004,0767
Algeria33.799.0SunniState religion127,5006,5387
Sudan39.370.0SunniNone104,5002,1726
Oman2.593.0IbadiState religion41,70023,9676
Libya6.197.0SunniState religion76,00012,2776
Qatar0.777.5SunniState religion12,40080,8705
Kuwait3.485.0SunniState religion15,50039,3054
Malaysia27.760.4SunniState religion110,00013,3154
United Arab Emirates5.476.0SunniState religion50,50037,2934
Turkmenistan5.189.0SunniSecular26,0005,1544
Brunei0.367.0SunniState religion7,00051,0053
Uzbekistan27.388.0SunniSecular53,0002,3441
Kazakhstan15.257.0SunniSecular65,80011,0861

I would like to point out that any Islamic country with a threat index of zero is not threat to anyone.



### End of my article ###

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